05-01-2015, 22:26
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חבר מתאריך: 11.01.14
הודעות: 1,371
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The changes for the whole country, shipping, localization, etc. all true but a price hike of 5 times is unlikely.
Note that the civilian side is much more flexible in solutions (gas\alcohol\Used Flafel oil),
but it is not possible to replace tanks\planes\ships to use those solutions as quickly.
The problem is not that the price will double or more, but that it will grow at even a moderate to slow rate.
For the IDF the total defence budget will probably not grow to match the growing price of oil products.
The military budget for oil products will grow at the expense of other military uses, like less people in service, and less training.
Of course there will be much less engine time, flying and so on.
Just think what a price hike of 5% a year mean for using Tanks\Dubbies\Ships\F35's(heh).
Keeping basic training and readiness will cost more and more.
At some point using tanks will not be cost effective, at later point less ships and later manned flight will be minimized.
Thinking about it more, it seems very hard to estimate what will happen.
Sure the IDF will have no moving tanks, the pilots will be simulator jockeys, and sailors will be few and far between.
On the other hand all the neighbours will be much worse even if some will get rich from selling pricey oil.
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Sing while you may
- The Legendary Pink Dots
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