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03-02-2011, 13:42
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חבר מתאריך: 09.04.10
הודעות: 1,045
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בתגובה להודעה מספר 13 שנכתבה על ידי פלמינג שמתחילה ב "התוכל להסביר לנו על מה מבוססות ההערכות והעובדות הללו?"
ואללה, אולי תקראו קצת על מצרים לפני שאתם מתווכחים, לוק צודק (אינטואיטיבית) ברוב הדברים אותם הוא אמר. הנה קצת חומר רקע על מצרים אמנם באנגלית, אבל אני בטוח שאתה תוכל להבין
. In Egypt there are 40 million people (about 50% of the Egyptian population) who live far below the poverty line.
2. These people live in favelas in horrible conditions with no sanitation no running water no medical treatment etc.
3. The organization that provides them with all these services, from water to medical treatment by women for women (for example) is the Muslim Brotherhood. You need to understand that the Hamas, including its charity organizations is a copycat of the Muslim brotherhood. What you see in Gaza (the way Hamas operates) is what’s happening in Egypt with the Muslim Brotherhood.
4. According the Egyptian Law no party can have a religious base, only an ideological one, which is a huge contradiction to the Egyptian constitution, which states that Egypt is a religious state.
5. During the last elections, Muslim Brotherhood representatives run as singles, considering the huge numbers of Egyptians who live in poverty and are depended on the Muslim Brotherhood to fulfill they daily needs, one would expect that the Brotherhood representatives will get at least 50% of the seats, instead their numbers were decreased from 8 to 1. Why? It’s safely to assume that someone (anyone says Mubarak) manipulated the results of the last elections.
6. Iran for the most part is a very secular state with about 85% of the Iranians secular and 15% of religious mullahs who were able to gain control (with the help of the US) over its population, in Egypt it was the 15% secular elite who was able to oppress the 85% religious population.
7. In real free elections the Muslim Brotherhood will gain control over Egypt, no doubt about it, why? Because of their role with the Egyptians daily life. After we established that the only question is would a Muslim brotherhood controlled Egypt would be good for world peace or not.
Personally, I think that American’s action in Egypt should have been nothing. Nothing had changed in Egypt over the last 30 years, and nothing will change for another 100 at least. The problems this country is facing are huge.
One of the issues it’s facing is food. Egypt does not produce enough wheat for its own needs. Without US aid people will simply starve to death, as Egypt cannot provide for its own people.
The world attention is set at Egypt for one reason only, 7.5% of the world’s daily trade is conducted via the Suez Canal.
Obama’s action will bring war to the region; I think that within a very short period NATO (mainly USA) will take over the Suez Canal to ensure the freedom of passage in the canal.
I think that in the long run Iranian and Saudi money will buy the US interest out of Egypt, and that is the real threat to the region to the west, and to peace with Israel.
In short just like in 1979, when America helped the revolution in Iran and 30 years later will have to act militarily to regain its control , it is doing the same now with Egypt. Obama will be remembered as second only to Carter, and much like him would be a one term president.
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