בסוריה מתפתחת מלחמת אזרחים.
הסורים מפחדים מן התרחיש הלבנוני, של מלחמה בין עדות שונות, ולכן מדברים בעיקר על הפן האידאולוגי - טוטליטריות מול דמוקרטיה או איסלאמיזם מול חילוניות.
אני מביא קטע מתוך האתר שלמעלה, שמסביר את הנאמנויות של העדות והמעמדות השונים בסוריה:
I think the real issues in Syria is the sectarian elephant in the room that most people try to ignore or mask by propaganda ,nobody in Syria really believe the story of the Israeli-salafists united army that emerged out of a extra dimension to try to subjugate Syria and all that crap ,the issues at hand is a sectarian one and i’ll try To explain Syria’s sectarian alignment regarding this ” revolution” from my neutral position(excuse some of the generalizations but i have no time for political correctness) :
|-Sunnis:
They are anti-regime and fall into:three categories:
1-the Secular well educated that yearn for a free democratic Syria ,and those are usually upper middle class,and not really affected by the Syrian Mazooot Stock Market(sic).
2-Moderate Muslim those are usually middle class who are slipping because of the current economical situation to lower classes ,they use to be non-political ,anti-regime for the usual Arabic reasons with a pinch of a justified and non justified sectarianism but were not really vocal about it ,and used to live by the rule “El7i6 el7i6 ,w ya rab elsetrah”,they faced for the first time in their lives the loss of dignity in their homes because they could not afford to buy Mazoot to heat their families this winter , and they are the main bulk of the demonstrations.
3-Extremist Muslim :who watches Safa and Alwisal and think that if the Alawites are gone,there will be roses and teddy bears everywhere,like 1, a minority.
pro-regime:
1-the 0.1% ultra rich who depend on the regime to provide a “legal” cover for their cartels, usually they live in Malki and Mezzah Autostrad and frequent 500_pounds_for_a_cup_of_coffee cafes and the similar high society hypocrisy centers.
2-the 1% ultra poor who usually are not educated and really buy into Ad-dunia crap about global conspiracy and what not.
||-Christains ,Druzes ,Ismaillis:
They are usually pro-regime not because they benefited from it like Alawis did but because they are afraid of the following:
1-Losing the liberty to hold their rituals and losing the protection they enjoyed under the regime, have absolutly no trust in the Muslim brotherhood or any Islamist party, and don’t believe the meek and mild image they try to mask themselves with, and believe they are just trying to “ytmaskan 7ata ytmakan”, to impose a shariah law to fight Israel in a some glory Armageddon(despite what you think , what those minorities claim to uphold about Israel publicly is just trying to push and assert their Arabism -they see as a alternative for Islamism- but in reality they don’t give a rat’s a$$)
2-In the likely event of a civil war ,they are the most likely ones who suffer the most, because unlike Sunnis and Alawites they are highly decentralized and thus it is impossible for them to form a Beshmerga like protection militia like the former two will likely do. They saw what happened to the Christian Iraqis ,and they are ready to cooperate with the devil to avoid their fate.
|||-Alawites:
Very very very pro-regime, ready to follow him to 9th depth of hell, for the following reasons:
1-Share 1 with Christians.
2-Religious masked tribalism ,emboldened by centuries of persecution,
3-Morbidly afraid from a revenge campaign ,like what the Shiite did in post-Saddam Iraq .
4-Fear of losing their newly founded respect (aka fear),and return to being just backward country peasants , to quote Ibrahim Almakhoos (once a foreign minister)in a conversation with Micheal Kilo :
بدك البنات العلويات يرجعوا يشتغلوا خدامات؟!
5-fear of losing -in a lot of cases- the family’s only business and only income and that is: the army, Mukhabarat, Tashbi7,,,,