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14-05-2013, 22:15
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חבר מתאריך: 13.11.04
הודעות: 16,822
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הגיגים מבטאון חהא"א במרץ 2013 על "עוצמת ההגנה האווירית הסורית"
בתגובה להודעה מספר 1 שנכתבה על ידי FiReBall שמתחילה ב "03,05.05.13 - דיווחים על תקיפות חיה"א בסוריה"
מדינה בעלת עוצמה צבאית גדולה יותר מכמעט כל יתר מדינות העולם האחרות גם יחד (למעט אולי רוסיה וסין), שמחצה מהאוויר את לוב, סרביה ועירק (פעמיים), מעסיקה את עצמה בזוטות ושטויות כמו כמה משגרים פעילים נותרו לצבא הגרוטאות המתפורר בתום שנתיים של מלחמת אזרחים.
The Syria Question
http://www.airforcemag.com/Magazine.../0313syria.aspx
ציטטות נבחרות כאילו נלקחו מ i-am-a-loser-and-not-an-empire.com
An air war would likely be tougher there than what the US saw in Serbia or Libya.
With 22.5 million people, Syria is far more densely populated than Libya and has a substantially larger air force and air defense system than Libya had under Qaddafi.
A variety of open sources converge on a figure of about 450 flyable combat aircraft in Syria's inventory, including about a hundred reasonably capable air*craft such as Russian MiG-29 fighters or older aircraft such as MiG-21s, upgraded with more modern avionics. In addition, Syria has in recent years upgraded its air defense systems with modern radars and missiles, including "double digit" surface-to-air missile systems like the SA-22 Pantsir, a mobile SAM capable of engaging low-flying targets and even precision munitions. Between 30 and 50 of the mobile systems were delivered, with more on order.
In addition, Syria has large numbers of SA-2 through SA-6 missile batteries. Though largely fixed-site weapons suscep*tible to jamming and anti-radiation missile attack, the older SAMs are still considered functional and potentially deadly.
More problematic is the possible activa*tion of Russian S-300, or SA-1 0 Grumble, air defense systems considered analogous to the US Patriot system, with a range in excess of 50 miles and the ability to track and target multiple aircraft simultaneously. Russia has refused to agree to stop sup*plying Syria with spare parts, technical assistance, and other support for its air defenses, echoing Syria's claim that the opposition forces are "terrorists" and not legitimate challengers for national author*ity. Russia, however, has conceded that Assad's government may not be able to survive indefinitely.
The SA-22 (NATO code name Grey*hound) may be the system Syria used to shoot down the Turkish RF-4 recon*naissance jet that may or may not have entered Syrian airspace near Latakia last June. Syria offered a near-apology for the incident, suggesting its gunners thought the aircraft was Israeli. Though they con*demned the attack as unprovoked, neither NATO nor Turkey launched any retalia*tion. Turkey then requested the Patriots to prevent Syrian offensive use of missiles or aircraft over the border.
הרמטכ"ל האמריקני גנרל 4 כוכבים מרטין דמפסי, מפגין ראיית הנולד ושיקול דעת המבוססים ככל הנראה על אתר דבקה ותרגומי הטוויטר של אוסינט
US military leaders have warned that Syria shouldn't be considered a pushover.
At hearing of the Senate Armed Services Committee in March 2012, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Army Gen. Martin E. Dempsey said the US military "can do just about anything we're asked to do" regarding Syria. He deferred specifics to a closed ses*sion, but said, "I'll just say this about [Syria's] air defenses. ... They have ap*proximately five times more sophisticated air defense systems than existed in Libya, covering one-fifth of the terrain. All of their air defenses are arrayed on their western border, which is their population center." He added that Syria has "about 10 times more [air defense capability] than we experienced in Serbia."
Syria's Air Force is heavy with air-to-air fighters. The most modern are MiG-29s: Syria has about 80, of which almost 70 are deemed operational. There are also about 30 flyable MiG-25 Foxbats, high-flying interceptors that some analysts suggest could be a threat to patrolling AWACS or tanker aircraft. More than a hundred MiG-21s and a hundred MiG-23s are available, and Syria has been relying on the latter for ground attacks.
In the March 2012 SASC hearing, Dempsey said the US "almost unques*tionably" would have to take the lead in any attack on Syria's air defenses and airfields in order to pave the way for a no-fly zone—a campaign that he agreed would probably take "several weeks." Only the US, he said, possesses the "electronic warfare capabilities neces*sary to do that."
בעוד הקצין האמריקני הבכיר מכלכל את צעדיו תחת איום צי הפוקסבט הסורי פאר הטכנולוגיה של המאה ה-21, עריקי חה"א הסורי טוענים ש...
In October, a retired Syrian general, Akil Hashem, who supports the opposition and wants Western intervention in Syria, claimed that a single US aircraft carrier and combat jets from a nearby country could establish and maintain a no-fly zone. An analyst told UPI news service that Hashem said the no-fly zone could be established just over opposition strongholds like Aleppo and Idlib, both near the Turkish border. Long-range missiles could keep Syrian fighters at bay, he said.
Another former Syrian Air Force gen*eral who has joined the opposition—Maj. Gen. Mohammed Fares, a former cos*monaut—was quoted by Fox News in November as saying air attacks against opposition forces are being carried out by only a third of the regime's pilots because Assad cannot count on the loyalty of the other two-thirds. He also said that while spare parts for the Syrian Air Force are running low, Assad still has hundreds of aircraft available for combat. Fox said it was impossible to verify Fares' comments.
כיצד יראה ה NO FLY ZONE?
Short-range fighters would likely be positioned at Incirlik AB, Turkey, not far from Syria's northern border. More fighters could be positioned at the British garrison of RAF Akrotiri on Cyprus. But the presence of combat aircraft at both locations would displace aerial tankers, which would have to be based much far*ther away, assuming basing privileges are not granted by Jordan or Saudi Arabia. Basing aircraft in Iraq or Israel is not considered a plausible scenario.
Maintaining a no-fly zone would require tankers and AWACS or E-2C Hawkeye-like aircraft to maintain station off the Syrian coast along with fighters available for a quick intercept of any Syrian aircraft launched. Senior USAF officials have said any engagement of the Syrian air defense system would require the use of F-22 stealth fighters, given the overlapping radars and numbers of SAMs Syria fields in the western portion of the country.
Besides land-based aircraft, the US could use aircraft carriers to enforce the no-fly zone. A US carrier air wing has only about 30 fixed wing combat aircraft, however, most of which would be F/A-18 Hornet strike fighters, while about four would be EA-6B Prowler or EA-18G Growler electronic attack aircraft.
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